Sam Altman’s Bold Warning: AI Could Replace 40% of Jobs by 2030

Sam Altman came with a new warning. The warning is backed by science, practicality and the new reality in the form of ChatGPT-5. According to Sam, a job change in a society can take up to 75 years, but with AI, that will shrink to 5 or less. He warns the world that AI can take over 40% of today’s jobs. Many experts make similar predictions every day, but as the CEO of one of the top AI companies, his words carry weight. So, what more did he say? Does upskilling help, given that you have 40% fewer jobs? Learn more. 

Mathias Dopfner Conversing With Sam Altman Image Credits: axelspringer.com
Mathias Dopfner Conversing With Sam Altman Image Credits: axelspringer.com

What Did Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI) Say?

Talking at the Axel Springer Global Reporters Network in Berlin, he made wild predictions on how AI will take over 40% of today’s jobs by 2030.

AI Is Growing Really Fast

According to him, ChatGPT and similar AI tools have already taken over 1% of the work. And just at this one per cent, the job market is shaken to the core. Imagine the effect of 30% – 40%.

By 2030, Things Will Speed Up a Lot

He emphasised that the effect of a 30% to 40% job reduction can be seen by 2030. So, more layoffs and employees losing jobs.

Jobs Will Change:

  • He also explained how the job market has evolved in the past few years.
  • For instance, 30 years ago, several jobs didn’t even exist, and tech was fairly new. App developers and social media managers, people would say, “What?”
  • And many older jobs disappeared, like typesetters or switchboard operators. So many Gen Z kids would now say, “What?” This is all because of the job evolution alongside tech.
  • Such a change would usually happen once “every 75 years,” said Altman.
  • However, now that AI is booming, Altman believes that this evolution of replacing jobs will occur much faster.

AI May Become “Superintelligent”

Superintelligence refers to being smarter than humans in multiple ways. Altman thinks AI can reach that level by 2030. And further said, “GPT-5 is already smarter than me and many others.”

The Good Side of AI

  • According to him, AI can help with huge discoveries and solutions that would otherwise be unachievable by humans.
  • Example: Solving complex problems, such as faster scientific research, is already part of what AI does.

The Risky Side of AI

  • The world is already facing the heat of massive job losses. Industries like programming (coding) and customer service have already been replaced (mostly).
  • However, some roles are uniquely human (like jobs needing creativity, deep emotions, or physical presence first).

“By the end of this decade, if we don’t have extraordinarily capable models that do things humans cannot, I’d be very surprised,” said Sam Altman. 

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